Should I Dodge?

League of Legends Lobby Advisor

Nocturne

  • Fighter
  • Assassin

Figures on this page are from League of Legends patch 16.18.1.

The win, pick, and ban rate figures here are a third-party League of Legends statistics provider's aggregation of match data that originates with Riot Games — Riot doesn't itself publish win-rate statistics. See how it works for the method, including the per-tier noise-width (σ) calibration Should I Dodge publishes on top of that raw data — how far a rate actually sits from meaningless, not something the provider itself measures.

Attack
9 / 10
Defense
5 / 10
Magic
2 / 10
Difficulty
4 / 10

Riot's own handcrafted 1-10 designer ratings, not measured gameplay stats.

Role Win Rate Pick Rate
Jungle 51.0% 7.6%

About 15.0% of games at this tier see Nocturne banned before anyone even picks a role — one number for the whole champion, not something that genuinely differs lane to lane. It's shown here alongside Nocturne's Jungle numbers, the highest-pick-rate role, purely because that's the row this page leads with. Why isn't this broken down by role?

Nocturne's Jungle win rate is 1.0 percentage points above an even 50% — Should I Dodge's win-probability model varies by about 4.8 percentage points of standard deviation from lobby to lobby across all ranks, purely from which champions get drawn, so this gap is smaller than that noise, not solid evidence the champion is unusually strong or weak right now.

Nocturne is tracked in exactly one role at this tier scope, Jungle — so there's no ambiguity below about which lane the rest of this page's per-tier, threat, and counters reporting describes.

Nocturne's Jungle Win Rate By Tier

Tier Win Rate Pick Rate Edge (noise-widths) Clears 0.5σ?
Iron 48.8% 8.2% 0.16σ No
Bronze 50.8% 8.7% 0.13σ No
Silver 51.4% 8.6% 0.23σ No
Gold 51.9% 8.1% 0.34σ No
Platinum 51.2% 7.6% 0.24σ No
Emerald 50.9% 6.7% 0.20σ No
Diamond 49.9% 5.6% 0.03σ No
Master 49.1% 4.1% 0.19σ No
Grandmaster 48.3% 2.6% 0.23σ No
Challenger 47.0% 2.4% 0.24σ No

Nocturne's Jungle win rate ranges from 47.0% at Challenger to 51.9% at Gold across the 10 of 10 ranked tiers with published data for this role — a 4.9-point spread. Measured against each tier's own noise floor, that's 0.34σ at Gold and 0.24σ at Challenger, with neither clearing the 0.5σ bar Should I Dodge itself requires before calling a reading anything but Neutral. See how noise-widths are calculated and what they mean for each rank.

Should I Dodge's curated read has Nocturne's power curve as an early-game lean — a community-consensus judgment about where the champion's power peaks, not measured win-rate-by-duration data (the stats source doesn't publish that).

Should I Dodge's curated read flags Nocturne's kit as carrying hard crowd control and burst — a community-consensus judgment about what the kit threatens, not measured win-rate data, and the same read behind the counter-build suggestions on the analyzer.

Should I Dodge maintains Nocturne's scaling lean and kit-threat reads above by hand, one champion at a time, across the whole roster — not generated from the win-rate numbers on this page, and not refreshed automatically when those numbers move.

Who Counters Nocturne?

Matchups below are for Nocturne's Jungle role -- its highest-pick-rate lane, played in 7.6% of its recorded games at this tier.

Champions That Counter Nocturne

Champion Win Rate vs Nocturne Edge (noise-widths)
Wukong 53.2% 0.66σ
Shyvana 53.1% 0.64σ
Rammus 52.6% 0.54σ
Gwen 52.2% 0.46σ
Tryndamere 52.0% 0.42σ

Champions Nocturne Counters

Champion Win Rate vs Nocturne Edge (noise-widths)
Qiyana 43.1% 1.44σ
Locke 43.4% 1.38σ
Rengar 43.7% 1.32σ
Naafiri 43.9% 1.27σ
Zed 45.1% 1.03σ

The stats source lists at most five champions in each direction for Nocturne: 5 listed as countering it here, 5 it counters back, with a tight, 1-point spread — none of them stand out much from the others among them — most matchups you could actually face in a real game simply aren't covered.

Want a live read for your own lobby? Try the analyzer.

Learn more: what a champion win rate actually means and why the same win rate means different things at different tiers.

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