Should I Dodge?

League of Legends Lobby Advisor

Smolder

  • Marksman
  • Mage

Figures on this page are from League of Legends patch 16.18.1.

The win, pick, and ban rate figures here are a third-party League of Legends statistics provider's aggregation of match data that originates with Riot Games — Riot doesn't itself publish win-rate statistics. See how it works for the method, including the per-tier noise-width (σ) calibration Should I Dodge publishes on top of that raw data — how far a rate actually sits from meaningless, not something the provider itself measures.

Attack
8 / 10
Defense
2 / 10
Magic
5 / 10
Difficulty
6 / 10

Riot's own handcrafted 1-10 designer ratings, not measured gameplay stats.

Role Win Rate Pick Rate
Mid 45.9% 0.6%
ADC 50.8% 4.0%

About 1.7% of games at this tier see Smolder banned before anyone even picks a role — one number for the whole champion, not something that genuinely differs lane to lane. It's shown here alongside Smolder's ADC numbers, the highest-pick-rate role, purely because that's the row this page leads with. Why isn't this broken down by role?

Smolder's ADC win rate is 0.8 percentage points above an even 50% — Should I Dodge's win-probability model varies by about 4.8 percentage points of standard deviation from lobby to lobby across all ranks, purely from which champions get drawn, so this gap is smaller than that noise, not solid evidence the champion is unusually strong or weak right now.

Smolder is tracked in 2 roles at this tier scope; the per-tier, threat, and counters reporting below all use its highest-pick-rate role, ADC — its numbers in Mid (0.6% pick rate) stay visible in the table above but aren't carried into the rest of this page.

Smolder's ADC Win Rate By Tier

Tier Win Rate Pick Rate Edge (noise-widths) Clears 0.5σ?
Iron 49.2% 3.0% 0.11σ No
Bronze 51.2% 3.6% 0.19σ No
Silver 52.1% 4.2% 0.35σ No
Gold 51.6% 4.5% 0.28σ No
Platinum 50.8% 4.5% 0.17σ No
Emerald 49.7% 4.0% 0.06σ No
Diamond 48.2% 3.1% 0.41σ No
Master 46.2% 1.8% 0.80σ Yes
Grandmaster 40.1% 1.3% 1.32σ Yes

Smolder's ADC win rate ranges from 40.1% at Grandmaster to 52.1% at Silver across the 9 of 10 ranked tiers with published data for this role — a 12.0-point spread. Measured against each tier's own noise floor, that's 0.35σ at Silver and 1.32σ at Grandmaster, with only the Grandmaster figure clearing the 0.5σ bar Should I Dodge itself requires before calling a reading anything but Neutral. See how noise-widths are calculated and what they mean for each rank.

Should I Dodge's curated read has Smolder's power curve as a strong late-game lean — it wants to scale into a long game, a community-consensus judgment about where the champion's power peaks, not measured win-rate-by-duration data (the stats source doesn't publish that).

Should I Dodge's curated read flags Smolder's kit as carrying poke and sustained auto-attack damage — a community-consensus judgment about what the kit threatens, not measured win-rate data, and the same read behind the counter-build suggestions on the analyzer.

Should I Dodge maintains Smolder's scaling lean and kit-threat reads above by hand, one champion at a time, across the whole roster — not generated from the win-rate numbers on this page, and not refreshed automatically when those numbers move.

Who Counters Smolder?

Matchups below are for Smolder's ADC role -- its highest-pick-rate lane, played in 4.0% of its recorded games at this tier.

Champions That Counter Smolder

Champion Win Rate vs Smolder Edge (noise-widths)
Hwei 53.4% 0.72σ
Twitch 53.4% 0.71σ
Katarina 51.8% 0.37σ
Jinx 51.7% 0.36σ
Seraphine 51.5% 0.30σ

Champions Smolder Counters

Champion Win Rate vs Smolder Edge (noise-widths)
Ezreal 45.5% 0.94σ
Lucian 45.9% 0.86σ
Corki 46.3% 0.77σ
Vayne 46.4% 0.76σ
Mel 46.6% 0.72σ

The stats source lists at most five champions in each direction for Smolder: 5 listed as countering it here, 5 it counters back, with a tight, 2-point spread — none of them stand out much from the others among them — most matchups you could actually face in a real game simply aren't covered.

Want a live read for your own lobby? Try the analyzer.

Learn more: what a champion win rate actually means and why the same win rate means different things at different tiers.

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