Top Tier List

Iron

Champion	Win Rate	Pick Rate	Ban Rate	Games	Edge (noise-widths)
Illaoi	53.9%	5.7%	21.6%	13,398	0.51σ
Sett	52.6%	11.8%	7.0%	27,338	0.34σ
Yorick	53.0%	4.7%	11.0%	11,349	0.39σ
Teemo	51.5%	10.0%	29.3%	23,975	0.20σ
Mordekaiser	51.6%	10.9%	16.2%	25,810	0.22σ
Tryndamere	52.5%	4.1%	5.6%	9,879	0.33σ
Dr. Mundo	52.4%	4.3%	4.8%	10,235	0.31σ
Yone	49.9%	12.8%	21.9%	28,200	0.01σ
Heimerdinger	51.4%	3.4%	15.6%	8,350	0.19σ
Malphite	51.0%	6.3%	10.2%	14,468	0.14σ
Nasus	51.5%	4.8%	6.2%	11,449	0.20σ
Sion	53.3%	2.3%	0.7%	5,424	0.44σ
Urgot	52.6%	2.6%	2.2%	6,453	0.34σ
Warwick	51.7%	1.3%	17.5%	2,956	0.23σ
Garen	50.6%	8.4%	5.3%	20,193	0.08σ
Singed	53.3%	1.5%	1.0%	3,576	0.43σ
Renekton	50.7%	4.4%	5.9%	10,248	0.10σ
Darius	49.2%	9.9%	16.0%	22,839	0.10σ
Malzahar	52.0%	0.6%	16.5%	1,459	0.26σ
Jax	50.2%	6.2%	7.5%	14,242	0.02σ
Volibear	51.0%	4.9%	2.9%	11,421	0.13σ
Yasuo	48.7%	5.0%	24.5%	10,916	0.18σ
Wukong	52.0%	0.6%	5.0%	1,442	0.26σ
Swain	52.0%	0.5%	5.5%	1,170	0.26σ
Cho'Gath	50.0%	3.0%	5.1%	7,290	0.00σ
Trundle	50.7%	2.5%	1.4%	6,012	0.09σ
Tahm Kench	49.8%	2.2%	5.6%	5,265	0.02σ
Xin Zhao	53.1%	0.3%	1.0%	644	0.40σ
Irelia	48.5%	3.5%	7.6%	7,883	0.20σ
Ornn	50.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4,136	0.06σ
Olaf	48.5%	3.0%	2.7%	7,010	0.19σ
Kayle	49.2%	2.5%	1.1%	6,192	0.11σ
Shen	49.8%	1.6%	0.4%	3,740	0.03σ
Kled	50.0%	1.0%	0.6%	2,494	0.00σ
Fiora	48.7%	2.6%	1.7%	6,086	0.17σ
Shaco	48.0%	0.3%	28.9%	759	0.26σ
Akali	46.7%	3.2%	15.9%	7,126	0.44σ
Gnar	49.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3,981	0.13σ
Naafiri	49.2%	0.3%	5.2%	690	0.10σ
Pantheon	47.3%	3.1%	3.1%	7,072	0.35σ
Aatrox	47.0%	4.1%	2.8%	9,111	0.40σ
Zaahen	48.4%	1.9%	0.6%	4,409	0.21σ
Quinn	48.9%	0.9%	0.7%	2,288	0.15σ
Maokai	50.2%	0.3%	0.4%	611	0.02σ
Ambessa	47.5%	1.7%	0.8%	3,856	0.33σ
Karthus	50.3%	0.1%	0.3%	321	0.04σ
Kalista	48.8%	0.2%	1.3%	502	0.16σ
Gangplank	47.2%	1.6%	1.4%	3,837	0.36σ
Akshan	49.7%	0.1%	1.2%	250	0.04σ
Vayne	46.5%	1.5%	3.7%	3,384	0.46σ
Fiddlesticks	49.1%	0.2%	0.5%	440	0.11σ
Gwen	46.5%	2.4%	1.6%	5,765	0.46σ
Kennen	46.8%	1.6%	1.0%	3,636	0.42σ
Zac	48.8%	0.2%	0.4%	428	0.16σ
Aurelion Sol	48.3%	0.2%	0.9%	392	0.22σ
Jayce	46.4%	1.9%	1.0%	4,136	0.48σ
Udyr	48.1%	0.2%	0.4%	586	0.25σ
Kog'Maw	48.0%	0.2%	0.7%	404	0.27σ
Camille	46.8%	1.1%	0.5%	2,650	0.42σ
Rumble	47.1%	0.8%	0.3%	1,954	0.39σ
Vladimir	46.8%	0.5%	1.4%	1,082	0.43σ
Cassiopeia	47.1%	0.3%	0.8%	645	0.38σ
Varus	46.3%	0.9%	1.2%	1,999	0.49σ
Poppy	46.6%	0.4%	0.8%	936	0.45σ
Aurora	46.5%	0.3%	1.1%	792	0.46σ
Anivia	45.6%	0.3%	0.8%	595	0.57σ
Smolder	44.5%	0.2%	1.0%	525	0.72σ
K'Sante	43.7%	2.0%	0.8%	4,375	0.83σ
Riven	44.2%	1.2%	0.3%	2,916	0.76σ
Sejuani	43.4%	0.1%	0.2%	261	0.87σ
Gragas	44.0%	0.9%	0.3%	2,184	0.79σ
Rengar	41.7%	0.2%	0.9%	347	1.10σ
Skarner	40.9%	0.1%	0.2%	266	1.19σ
Twisted Fate	41.2%	0.2%	0.4%	387	1.16σ
Ryze	40.9%	0.2%	0.4%	521	1.19σ
Corki	39.3%	0.2%	0.3%	414	1.40σ

At Iron, a Top champion's win rate has to sit at least 3.80 percentage points from an even 50% before Should I Dodge's own 0.5σ noise-floor threshold calls it more than lobby-to-lobby noise — 12 of the 76 champions below (15.8%) actually clear it. Illaoi (53.9%, 0.51σ) clear it from above 50%; Corki (39.3%, 1.40σ), Ryze (40.9%, 1.19σ), and Skarner (40.9%, 1.19σ) clear it from below.

Top champions at Iron average a 48.6% win rate, but how tightly they cluster around it matters more than the average itself: a 3.19-point standard deviation across the list and a 14.6-point spread from top to bottom — measured directly from these champions' own win rates, not this app's lobby-to-lobby model spread quoted above. This tier's noise-floor bar works out to about 1.2 of that list's own spread.

The top 5 champions by pick rate account for 29.4% of all recorded Top picks at Iron — some concentration at the top, but not dramatically more than an unremarkable pool would show.

The 5 most-picked Top champions at Iron average 51.0% against the list's 48.6%, running stronger by 2.42 points — a real lean, but well short of this tier's own noise floor.

Bronze

Champion	Win Rate	Pick Rate	Ban Rate	Games	Edge (noise-widths)
Teemo	52.3%	9.5%	26.5%	28,886	0.38σ
Illaoi	52.3%	5.1%	17.6%	15,345	0.37σ
Mordekaiser	51.6%	9.8%	15.3%	29,438	0.27σ
Sett	52.0%	10.5%	6.2%	30,563	0.33σ
Yorick	51.9%	5.0%	12.0%	15,223	0.31σ
Garen	51.7%	8.4%	6.0%	26,034	0.28σ
Warwick	53.0%	1.3%	12.0%	3,786	0.50σ
Briar	54.1%	0.4%	15.5%	1,239	0.68σ
Malphite	51.0%	6.6%	12.6%	18,893	0.17σ
Darius	50.4%	9.7%	16.7%	28,133	0.07σ
Dr. Mundo	51.7%	4.5%	4.7%	13,899	0.29σ
Yone	49.5%	11.8%	22.0%	31,245	0.08σ
Renekton	51.3%	4.5%	5.0%	12,786	0.21σ
Singed	53.4%	1.6%	0.9%	5,210	0.55σ
Nasus	50.7%	5.1%	7.9%	15,471	0.11σ
Heimerdinger	50.8%	2.9%	12.2%	8,999	0.14σ
Sion	52.7%	2.8%	0.7%	8,329	0.44σ
Volibear	51.2%	4.9%	2.9%	14,622	0.21σ
Jax	50.1%	5.9%	7.4%	17,116	0.01σ
Tryndamere	50.7%	4.0%	5.2%	12,374	0.11σ
Yasuo	49.3%	4.3%	24.5%	11,421	0.12σ
Irelia	49.9%	3.6%	9.1%	10,044	0.01σ
Malzahar	50.9%	0.7%	18.0%	2,021	0.15σ
Tahm Kench	50.5%	2.5%	5.8%	7,663	0.08σ
Sylas	50.8%	0.8%	13.3%	1,980	0.14σ
Urgot	51.0%	2.7%	2.0%	8,750	0.16σ
Cho'Gath	49.8%	3.2%	5.5%	9,975	0.03σ
Wukong	51.1%	0.7%	4.8%	1,928	0.19σ
Shen	51.1%	2.1%	0.5%	6,394	0.18σ
Kayle	50.4%	2.5%	1.0%	7,878	0.07σ
Ornn	50.8%	2.1%	0.4%	6,529	0.13σ
Fiora	49.8%	2.9%	2.1%	8,596	0.04σ
Olaf	49.6%	2.8%	2.7%	8,048	0.07σ
Akali	47.9%	3.1%	16.0%	8,525	0.35σ
Kled	50.7%	1.2%	0.7%	3,569	0.12σ
Aatrox	48.5%	4.1%	3.1%	10,839	0.25σ
Trundle	49.3%	2.6%	1.3%	7,938	0.12σ
Naafiri	50.0%	0.3%	6.4%	932	0.01σ
Aurelion Sol	52.3%	0.2%	0.8%	561	0.39σ
Galio	50.5%	0.3%	2.7%	848	0.08σ
Zac	51.8%	0.2%	0.5%	644	0.30σ
Gangplank	48.5%	2.1%	2.2%	6,222	0.24σ
Rengar	51.9%	0.2%	1.0%	454	0.31σ
Vayne	48.3%	1.5%	4.0%	4,363	0.28σ
Aurora	50.5%	0.4%	1.0%	1,013	0.08σ
Zaahen	48.8%	1.9%	0.8%	5,830	0.19σ
Swain	48.3%	0.5%	5.8%	1,599	0.29σ
Xin Zhao	50.2%	0.3%	0.9%	800	0.04σ
Kennen	48.1%	1.6%	1.1%	4,514	0.31σ
Karthus	52.0%	0.1%	0.3%	292	0.33σ
Smolder	49.6%	0.3%	1.2%	821	0.06σ
Cassiopeia	49.8%	0.3%	0.8%	814	0.03σ
Pantheon	46.8%	3.1%	3.2%	8,738	0.53σ
Kog'Maw	50.2%	0.2%	0.7%	550	0.04σ
Lissandra	50.2%	0.1%	1.3%	420	0.03σ
Gwen	46.9%	2.2%	1.7%	6,767	0.52σ
Maokai	48.9%	0.3%	0.4%	986	0.18σ
Ambessa	46.9%	1.9%	1.0%	5,391	0.52σ
Anivia	48.6%	0.3%	0.8%	768	0.22σ
Quinn	47.5%	0.9%	0.8%	2,858	0.42σ
Fiddlesticks	48.9%	0.2%	0.4%	637	0.18σ
Poppy	47.7%	0.5%	1.1%	1,381	0.38σ
Gnar	46.6%	1.9%	0.6%	5,711	0.56σ
Camille	46.2%	1.4%	0.6%	4,144	0.63σ
Kalista	46.6%	0.3%	1.1%	824	0.56σ
Vladimir	46.1%	0.6%	1.7%	1,623	0.64σ
Kassadin	47.7%	0.1%	0.6%	202	0.39σ
Rumble	46.3%	1.0%	0.3%	2,777	0.61σ
Twisted Fate	47.0%	0.2%	0.4%	565	0.49σ
Ryze	46.4%	0.3%	0.4%	776	0.60σ
Jayce	44.6%	2.2%	1.3%	5,760	0.88σ
Gragas	45.4%	1.1%	0.3%	3,048	0.75σ
K'Sante	44.2%	2.3%	0.9%	5,880	0.96σ
Corki	45.4%	0.2%	0.2%	630	0.75σ
Skarner	45.1%	0.1%	0.2%	279	0.81σ
Varus	44.1%	1.0%	1.1%	2,454	0.97σ
Sejuani	44.9%	0.1%	0.3%	391	0.84σ
Riven	44.2%	1.3%	0.3%	4,018	0.96σ
Udyr	42.8%	0.3%	0.5%	823	1.18σ

At Bronze, a Top champion's win rate has to sit at least 3.04 percentage points from an even 50% before Should I Dodge's own 0.5σ noise-floor threshold calls it more than lobby-to-lobby noise — 20 of the 79 champions below (25.3%) actually clear it. Briar (54.1%, 0.68σ) and Singed (53.4%, 0.55σ) clear it from above 50%; Udyr (42.8%, 1.18σ), Varus (44.1%, 0.97σ), and Riven (44.2%, 0.96σ) clear it from below.

Top champions at Bronze average a 49.3% win rate, but how tightly they cluster around it matters more than the average itself: a 2.50-point standard deviation across the list and a 11.3-point spread from top to bottom — measured directly from these champions' own win rates, not this app's lobby-to-lobby model spread quoted above. This tier's noise-floor bar works out to about 1.2 of that list's own spread.

The top 5 champions by pick rate account for 26.9% of all recorded Top picks at Bronze — some concentration at the top, but not dramatically more than an unremarkable pool would show.

The 5 most-picked Top champions at Bronze average 51.2% against the list's 49.3%, running stronger by 1.93 points — a real lean, but well short of this tier's own noise floor.

Silver

Champion	Win Rate	Pick Rate	Ban Rate	Games	Edge (noise-widths)
Teemo	51.9%	8.8%	22.9%	33,239	0.33σ
Mordekaiser	51.3%	8.4%	14.4%	31,506	0.23σ
Malphite	51.4%	7.1%	15.3%	24,883	0.23σ
Illaoi	51.9%	4.4%	13.2%	16,768	0.32σ
Garen	51.6%	8.2%	6.9%	32,197	0.27σ
Sett	51.7%	9.0%	5.2%	33,175	0.29σ
Yorick	51.5%	4.7%	12.0%	17,577	0.25σ
Dr. Mundo	52.2%	4.4%	4.6%	17,010	0.38σ
Darius	50.4%	9.5%	17.0%	34,868	0.07σ
Irelia	51.0%	4.0%	10.8%	13,631	0.18σ
Yone	49.6%	10.5%	21.7%	34,656	0.08σ
Tryndamere	51.3%	3.9%	4.6%	15,134	0.21σ
Sion	52.4%	3.2%	0.8%	11,954	0.41σ
Warwick	51.7%	1.4%	7.2%	5,133	0.29σ
Urgot	52.1%	2.6%	1.8%	10,905	0.35σ
Nasus	50.0%	5.1%	9.9%	18,969	0.01σ
Briar	51.9%	0.4%	15.2%	1,518	0.33σ
Yasuo	49.4%	3.7%	23.6%	12,508	0.11σ
Volibear	50.5%	4.9%	3.0%	18,208	0.09σ
Cho'Gath	50.4%	3.0%	6.2%	11,876	0.07σ
Renekton	50.2%	4.6%	4.2%	16,602	0.04σ
Heimerdinger	50.2%	2.4%	8.8%	9,014	0.03σ
Fiora	50.6%	3.2%	2.5%	11,891	0.10σ
Tahm Kench	50.2%	2.6%	5.7%	9,932	0.03σ
Akali	49.0%	3.2%	16.5%	10,804	0.16σ
Ornn	51.4%	2.7%	0.5%	10,158	0.24σ
Singed	51.5%	1.8%	0.8%	7,314	0.26σ
Olaf	50.5%	2.7%	2.8%	9,668	0.08σ
Shen	51.0%	2.7%	0.6%	10,440	0.17σ
Wukong	51.1%	0.7%	5.1%	2,662	0.18σ
Malzahar	49.9%	0.8%	17.9%	2,810	0.02σ
Kayle	50.9%	2.3%	1.0%	9,291	0.15σ
Jax	48.8%	5.8%	7.0%	20,444	0.20σ
Swain	51.0%	0.6%	5.3%	2,058	0.17σ
Sylas	49.2%	0.9%	14.9%	2,792	0.14σ
Gangplank	49.0%	3.0%	3.7%	10,707	0.16σ
Pantheon	49.0%	3.3%	3.4%	11,268	0.18σ
Fiddlesticks	52.6%	0.3%	0.5%	929	0.45σ
Aatrox	48.6%	4.1%	3.6%	13,767	0.24σ
Anivia	51.6%	0.3%	0.9%	1,136	0.28σ
Aurelion Sol	52.8%	0.2%	0.7%	633	0.47σ
Zaahen	49.7%	2.1%	0.9%	7,863	0.06σ
Kalista	51.2%	0.4%	1.0%	1,082	0.21σ
Lissandra	51.3%	0.2%	1.8%	795	0.22σ
Zac	51.5%	0.3%	0.6%	1,109	0.25σ
Trundle	49.2%	2.4%	1.0%	9,261	0.13σ
Poppy	49.7%	0.6%	1.5%	2,223	0.06σ
Vayne	48.2%	1.5%	4.1%	5,273	0.31σ
Kled	49.3%	1.3%	0.9%	4,945	0.12σ
Maokai	50.3%	0.5%	0.4%	1,601	0.04σ
Kassadin	52.5%	0.1%	0.7%	302	0.43σ
Naafiri	48.6%	0.3%	7.6%	1,198	0.24σ
Vladimir	48.9%	0.8%	1.9%	2,662	0.19σ
Master Yi	46.8%	0.7%	23.2%	2,331	0.54σ
Gwen	47.9%	2.1%	1.8%	7,851	0.35σ
Xin Zhao	50.1%	0.3%	0.9%	933	0.01σ
Sejuani	50.8%	0.2%	0.3%	686	0.14σ
Galio	49.0%	0.3%	2.1%	1,108	0.17σ
Ambessa	47.5%	2.2%	1.4%	7,680	0.42σ
Camille	47.8%	1.9%	0.7%	6,799	0.38σ
Kennen	47.7%	1.7%	1.1%	5,569	0.40σ
Gnar	47.3%	2.3%	0.7%	8,245	0.46σ
Cassiopeia	48.6%	0.3%	1.0%	1,145	0.24σ
Quinn	47.5%	0.9%	0.8%	3,677	0.43σ
Varus	47.2%	1.0%	1.0%	3,092	0.47σ
Aurora	47.8%	0.3%	1.1%	1,256	0.37σ
Riven	47.0%	1.5%	0.4%	5,656	0.51σ
Gragas	47.2%	1.3%	0.3%	4,522	0.49σ
Jayce	45.8%	2.8%	1.7%	8,904	0.71σ
Smolder	47.4%	0.3%	1.4%	1,142	0.44σ
Akshan	48.1%	0.1%	1.2%	391	0.32σ
Ryze	47.7%	0.4%	0.5%	1,287	0.39σ
Karthus	48.5%	0.1%	0.3%	386	0.25σ
Udyr	47.3%	0.3%	0.6%	1,218	0.46σ
Twisted Fate	47.4%	0.2%	0.5%	828	0.44σ
Rengar	47.0%	0.2%	1.2%	641	0.52σ
Ivern	46.6%	0.1%	0.2%	208	0.58σ
K'Sante	44.5%	2.4%	1.2%	7,874	0.94σ
Rumble	45.2%	1.2%	0.4%	4,140	0.82σ
Kog'Maw	45.2%	0.2%	0.7%	630	0.82σ
Skarner	43.1%	0.1%	0.2%	313	1.18σ
Corki	42.9%	0.3%	0.2%	977	1.22σ

At Silver, a Top champion's win rate has to sit at least 2.93 percentage points from an even 50% before Should I Dodge's own 0.5σ noise-floor threshold calls it more than lobby-to-lobby noise — 10 of the 82 champions below (12.2%) actually clear it. Every champion that clears the bar does it from below 50%: Corki (42.9%, 1.22σ), Skarner (43.1%, 1.18σ), and K'Sante (44.5%, 0.94σ).

Top champions at Silver average a 49.4% win rate, but how tightly they cluster around it matters more than the average itself: a 2.17-point standard deviation across the list and a 9.9-point spread from top to bottom — measured directly from these champions' own win rates, not this app's lobby-to-lobby model spread quoted above. This tier's noise-floor bar works out to about 1.3 of that list's own spread.

The top 5 champions by pick rate account for 24.1% of all recorded Top picks at Silver — some concentration at the top, but not dramatically more than an unremarkable pool would show.

The 5 most-picked Top champions at Silver average 51.0% against the list's 49.4%, running stronger by 1.58 points — a real lean, but well short of this tier's own noise floor.

Gold

Champion	Win Rate	Pick Rate	Ban Rate	Games	Edge (noise-widths)
Teemo	51.5%	7.7%	18.1%	32,676	0.28σ
Garen	52.1%	7.9%	7.4%	35,173	0.38σ
Malphite	51.5%	7.1%	17.2%	28,282	0.27σ
Illaoi	52.3%	3.7%	10.0%	16,201	0.42σ
Mordekaiser	51.2%	7.1%	12.2%	30,763	0.22σ
Darius	50.7%	9.1%	16.4%	38,194	0.12σ
Nasus	51.2%	4.7%	11.4%	19,885	0.22σ
Sett	51.4%	7.7%	4.2%	32,812	0.26σ
Irelia	50.9%	4.3%	12.7%	16,563	0.17σ
Yone	49.6%	9.6%	21.3%	36,576	0.07σ
Yorick	50.7%	4.2%	10.7%	17,661	0.13σ
Dr. Mundo	51.3%	4.1%	4.1%	17,909	0.24σ
Sion	52.1%	3.6%	0.9%	15,476	0.38σ
Singed	52.5%	2.1%	0.7%	9,001	0.46σ
Tryndamere	50.8%	3.6%	4.0%	15,816	0.15σ
Renekton	50.4%	5.0%	4.0%	20,580	0.07σ
Yasuo	49.2%	3.5%	23.1%	13,514	0.15σ
Kayle	51.6%	2.2%	1.1%	9,757	0.29σ
Warwick	51.1%	1.5%	4.3%	6,227	0.20σ
Gangplank	49.8%	4.0%	6.5%	15,968	0.03σ
Olaf	50.6%	2.6%	3.1%	10,437	0.11σ
Heimerdinger	50.4%	1.9%	5.6%	8,142	0.07σ
Cho'Gath	49.8%	2.9%	7.0%	13,051	0.03σ
Zac	53.0%	0.4%	0.7%	1,612	0.55σ
Ornn	51.1%	3.0%	0.5%	12,828	0.19σ
Fiora	50.0%	3.7%	3.2%	15,133	0.01σ
Kled	51.4%	1.4%	0.9%	6,212	0.26σ
Sylas	49.8%	1.0%	16.3%	3,452	0.04σ
Volibear	49.7%	4.7%	3.0%	19,880	0.05σ
Jax	49.0%	5.8%	7.6%	23,185	0.19σ
Urgot	50.6%	2.6%	1.5%	12,186	0.10σ
Poppy	51.4%	0.8%	2.1%	3,233	0.25σ
Wukong	50.7%	0.8%	5.7%	3,382	0.12σ
Akali	48.7%	3.3%	17.1%	12,636	0.24σ
Pantheon	49.8%	3.5%	3.5%	13,570	0.05σ
Naafiri	51.2%	0.3%	8.4%	1,300	0.22σ
Tahm Kench	49.7%	2.4%	5.1%	10,681	0.05σ
Lissandra	52.0%	0.3%	2.4%	1,253	0.37σ
Aatrox	49.2%	4.6%	4.2%	17,364	0.15σ
Shen	50.3%	3.2%	0.7%	13,951	0.05σ
Fiddlesticks	52.2%	0.3%	0.6%	1,127	0.40σ
Gwen	49.3%	2.1%	2.1%	9,194	0.13σ
Quinn	50.5%	0.9%	0.8%	3,772	0.08σ
Swain	49.6%	0.6%	4.3%	2,630	0.06σ
Zaahen	49.5%	2.2%	1.1%	9,543	0.10σ
Trundle	49.6%	2.2%	0.8%	9,632	0.07σ
Camille	49.4%	2.5%	1.0%	10,261	0.12σ
Kassadin	52.9%	0.1%	0.8%	422	0.54σ
Maokai	51.0%	0.5%	0.3%	1,824	0.19σ
Malzahar	48.3%	0.7%	15.5%	2,960	0.31σ
Anivia	50.0%	0.4%	1.2%	1,572	0.00σ
Kennen	48.8%	1.8%	1.3%	6,896	0.23σ
Kalista	50.1%	0.4%	1.0%	1,202	0.02σ
Gnar	48.6%	2.6%	0.8%	10,879	0.26σ
Karthus	52.1%	0.1%	0.4%	436	0.38σ
Akshan	50.9%	0.1%	1.4%	515	0.16σ
Master Yi	47.2%	0.7%	19.3%	2,724	0.52σ
Xin Zhao	49.8%	0.3%	1.0%	1,102	0.05σ
Vayne	47.6%	1.5%	4.2%	5,738	0.44σ
Briar	47.4%	0.4%	14.5%	1,480	0.48σ
Cassiopeia	49.3%	0.4%	1.1%	1,327	0.13σ
Vladimir	48.2%	0.9%	2.3%	3,669	0.33σ
Ambessa	47.5%	2.6%	1.9%	10,366	0.45σ
Galio	48.7%	0.3%	2.0%	1,462	0.24σ
Brand	47.8%	0.3%	5.0%	1,250	0.40σ
Aurora	48.7%	0.4%	1.1%	1,654	0.25σ
Rumble	48.0%	1.3%	0.5%	5,225	0.37σ
Jayce	46.5%	3.6%	2.5%	12,978	0.64σ
Gragas	47.4%	1.6%	0.4%	6,167	0.47σ
Ryze	48.0%	0.5%	0.4%	1,959	0.36σ
Aurelion Sol	48.7%	0.2%	0.7%	680	0.24σ
Riven	47.1%	1.7%	0.6%	7,466	0.53σ
Sejuani	48.5%	0.2%	0.3%	919	0.28σ
Kog'Maw	47.7%	0.2%	0.7%	787	0.42σ
Rengar	46.9%	0.2%	1.9%	812	0.58σ
Skarner	48.0%	0.1%	0.2%	444	0.36σ
Twisted Fate	47.0%	0.2%	0.8%	954	0.54σ
K'Sante	45.1%	2.8%	1.4%	10,251	0.89σ
Varus	45.7%	1.0%	1.1%	3,491	0.80σ
Rek'Sai	45.8%	0.0%	0.3%	203	0.77σ
Udyr	45.8%	0.4%	0.7%	1,845	0.77σ
Ivern	44.0%	0.1%	0.2%	317	1.09σ
Smolder	43.3%	0.3%	1.7%	1,348	1.24σ
Corki	42.3%	0.4%	0.3%	1,460	1.41σ

At Gold, a Top champion's win rate has to sit at least 2.73 percentage points from an even 50% before Should I Dodge's own 0.5σ noise-floor threshold calls it more than lobby-to-lobby noise — 14 of the 84 champions below (16.7%) actually clear it. Zac (53.0%, 0.55σ) and Kassadin (52.9%, 0.54σ) clear it from above 50%; Corki (42.3%, 1.41σ), Smolder (43.3%, 1.24σ), and Ivern (44.0%, 1.09σ) clear it from below.

Top champions at Gold average a 49.4% win rate, but how tightly they cluster around it matters more than the average itself: a 2.14-point standard deviation across the list and a 10.7-point spread from top to bottom — measured directly from these champions' own win rates, not this app's lobby-to-lobby model spread quoted above. This tier's noise-floor bar works out to about 1.3 of that list's own spread.

The top 5 champions by pick rate account for 21.9% of all recorded Top picks at Gold — some concentration at the top, but not dramatically more than an unremarkable pool would show.

The 5 most-picked Top champions at Gold average 51.1% against the list's 49.4%, running stronger by 1.64 points — a real lean, but well short of this tier's own noise floor.

Platinum

Champion	Win Rate	Pick Rate	Ban Rate	Games	Edge (noise-widths)
Malphite	51.6%	7.0%	18.6%	30,107	0.32σ
Garen	51.9%	7.6%	7.2%	36,079	0.37σ
Darius	51.1%	8.3%	15.4%	37,814	0.22σ
Irelia	51.0%	4.6%	14.2%	18,988	0.21σ
Teemo	50.8%	6.1%	12.8%	28,152	0.17σ
Mordekaiser	50.9%	6.1%	9.7%	28,386	0.18σ
Nasus	51.0%	4.2%	11.6%	18,760	0.20σ
Illaoi	51.5%	3.1%	7.5%	14,572	0.29σ
Zed	52.3%	0.5%	20.0%	2,222	0.46σ
Yone	49.4%	9.1%	20.5%	37,237	0.12σ
Gangplank	50.4%	4.8%	10.0%	20,511	0.07σ
Sett	50.9%	6.7%	3.3%	31,108	0.18σ
Ornn	52.4%	3.4%	0.5%	15,691	0.47σ
Akali	49.6%	3.4%	18.0%	14,118	0.07σ
Sion	51.6%	3.9%	0.9%	17,864	0.32σ
Renekton	50.4%	5.4%	4.0%	23,904	0.07σ
Fiora	50.5%	4.1%	4.1%	17,922	0.11σ
Kayle	51.9%	2.1%	1.3%	10,174	0.37σ
Cho'Gath	50.4%	2.7%	7.7%	13,160	0.08σ
Kassadin	55.9%	0.1%	1.2%	580	1.17σ
Yorick	49.9%	3.6%	8.8%	16,002	0.03σ
Aatrox	50.0%	5.1%	4.9%	21,253	0.00σ
Dr. Mundo	50.5%	3.8%	3.4%	17,792	0.09σ
Warwick	51.4%	1.5%	2.5%	6,713	0.29σ
Olaf	50.6%	2.9%	3.6%	12,138	0.13σ
Tryndamere	50.4%	3.3%	3.3%	15,289	0.08σ
Shen	51.1%	3.4%	0.8%	16,189	0.23σ
Yasuo	48.8%	3.3%	23.6%	14,061	0.24σ
Singed	51.4%	2.3%	0.8%	10,610	0.28σ
Tahm Kench	50.4%	2.2%	3.7%	10,272	0.08σ
Jax	48.8%	5.9%	8.7%	25,317	0.23σ
Kled	51.3%	1.6%	0.9%	7,353	0.26σ
Briar	50.9%	0.3%	12.5%	1,497	0.18σ
Urgot	50.8%	2.4%	1.2%	12,188	0.15σ
Heimerdinger	50.5%	1.5%	3.5%	7,079	0.09σ
Gwen	50.3%	2.2%	2.4%	10,193	0.06σ
Zac	52.1%	0.5%	0.9%	2,197	0.42σ
Anivia	51.8%	0.5%	1.7%	2,123	0.36σ
Volibear	49.5%	4.4%	2.7%	20,294	0.09σ
Pantheon	49.4%	4.0%	3.7%	16,687	0.12σ
Zaahen	50.4%	2.4%	1.1%	10,915	0.07σ
Poppy	50.6%	0.9%	3.1%	3,885	0.12σ
Swain	51.0%	0.6%	3.0%	2,682	0.19σ
Sejuani	53.1%	0.3%	0.3%	1,184	0.62σ
Lissandra	51.2%	0.4%	2.9%	1,615	0.24σ
Quinn	51.1%	0.9%	0.7%	3,973	0.22σ
Kennen	49.9%	1.9%	1.4%	7,639	0.02σ
Naafiri	50.1%	0.3%	9.1%	1,378	0.02σ
Wukong	49.4%	0.8%	6.7%	3,878	0.12σ
Camille	49.4%	3.2%	1.4%	14,287	0.13σ
Gragas	49.8%	1.9%	0.5%	8,230	0.03σ
Malzahar	48.6%	0.7%	11.5%	2,970	0.28σ
Sylas	47.8%	1.1%	18.2%	4,229	0.45σ
Vladimir	49.1%	1.0%	2.9%	4,439	0.18σ
Gnar	48.7%	3.1%	1.0%	13,416	0.25σ
Akshan	51.4%	0.1%	1.6%	636	0.28σ
Vayne	48.4%	1.3%	4.1%	5,554	0.32σ
Trundle	49.2%	1.9%	0.6%	9,069	0.17σ
Ambessa	47.9%	3.1%	2.6%	13,281	0.41σ
Aurora	50.1%	0.4%	1.1%	1,924	0.02σ
Master Yi	47.5%	0.7%	16.2%	3,011	0.50σ
Fiddlesticks	50.6%	0.3%	0.8%	1,166	0.11σ
Jayce	47.2%	4.5%	3.8%	17,324	0.56σ
Rek'Sai	53.2%	0.1%	0.5%	304	0.64σ
Riven	48.4%	1.9%	0.8%	9,189	0.31σ
Kog'Maw	49.8%	0.2%	0.7%	895	0.04σ
Maokai	49.4%	0.5%	0.2%	2,081	0.11σ
Ryze	48.9%	0.6%	0.5%	2,332	0.22σ
Galio	48.4%	0.4%	1.9%	1,576	0.31σ
Cassiopeia	48.3%	0.4%	1.3%	1,533	0.35σ
Udyr	48.2%	0.5%	0.9%	2,287	0.36σ
Aurelion Sol	49.1%	0.2%	0.6%	708	0.19σ
Xin Zhao	48.2%	0.3%	1.1%	1,141	0.37σ
Rumble	47.3%	1.4%	0.5%	6,022	0.54σ
Varus	46.6%	1.0%	1.3%	3,589	0.69σ
Rengar	46.5%	0.3%	3.0%	1,057	0.70σ
K'Sante	45.3%	3.2%	1.8%	12,781	0.95σ
Karthus	47.5%	0.1%	0.5%	616	0.50σ
Ivern	47.9%	0.1%	0.2%	434	0.41σ
Skarner	47.0%	0.1%	0.2%	625	0.59σ
Kalista	45.0%	0.3%	1.2%	1,156	1.00σ
Corki	44.4%	0.5%	0.3%	1,761	1.13σ
Smolder	42.9%	0.3%	1.5%	1,322	1.42σ

At Platinum, a Top champion's win rate has to sit at least 2.50 percentage points from an even 50% before Should I Dodge's own 0.5σ noise-floor threshold calls it more than lobby-to-lobby noise — 13 of the 83 champions below (15.7%) actually clear it. Kassadin (55.9%, 1.17σ), Rek'Sai (53.2%, 0.64σ), and Sejuani (53.1%, 0.62σ) clear it from above 50%; Smolder (42.9%, 1.42σ), Corki (44.4%, 1.13σ), and Kalista (45.0%, 1.00σ) clear it from below.

Top champions at Platinum average a 49.8% win rate, but how tightly they cluster around it matters more than the average itself: a 2.02-point standard deviation across the list and a 13.0-point spread from top to bottom — measured directly from these champions' own win rates, not this app's lobby-to-lobby model spread quoted above. This tier's noise-floor bar works out to about 1.2 of that list's own spread.

The top 5 champions by pick rate account for 20.1% of all recorded Top picks at Platinum — some concentration at the top, but not dramatically more than an unremarkable pool would show.

The 5 most-picked Top champions at Platinum average 51.0% against the list's 49.8%, running stronger by 1.21 points — a real lean, but well short of this tier's own noise floor.

Emerald

Champion	Win Rate	Pick Rate	Ban Rate	Games	Edge (noise-widths)
Malphite	52.0%	7.0%	19.0%	24,029	0.44σ
Darius	50.9%	7.5%	13.9%	27,433	0.21σ
Gangplank	50.8%	5.2%	12.6%	17,519	0.18σ
Irelia	50.4%	4.8%	14.9%	15,986	0.08σ
Kled	52.8%	1.7%	1.0%	6,148	0.62σ
Garen	50.6%	6.9%	6.0%	26,110	0.13σ
Singed	52.5%	2.4%	0.7%	8,845	0.56σ
Fiora	50.9%	4.6%	5.5%	15,850	0.21σ
Warwick	52.5%	1.6%	1.5%	5,652	0.56σ
Nasus	50.5%	3.6%	10.8%	13,006	0.12σ
Zed	51.5%	0.7%	20.9%	2,351	0.33σ
Zac	53.7%	0.6%	1.3%	1,973	0.81σ
Ornn	52.1%	3.8%	0.6%	14,123	0.46σ
Teemo	50.5%	4.6%	8.5%	16,802	0.11σ
Yone	49.3%	8.8%	19.1%	28,696	0.16σ
Sett	50.9%	5.9%	2.5%	21,723	0.20σ
Kayle	52.0%	2.1%	1.3%	8,148	0.44σ
Illaoi	50.9%	2.6%	5.7%	9,700	0.20σ
Poppy	51.9%	1.0%	4.1%	3,418	0.41σ
Aatrox	50.2%	5.4%	5.3%	18,338	0.05σ
Sion	51.4%	4.1%	0.8%	14,556	0.31σ
Shen	51.5%	3.6%	0.8%	13,468	0.32σ
Cho'Gath	50.4%	2.6%	7.5%	9,815	0.09σ
Jax	49.5%	6.1%	10.3%	20,724	0.10σ
Mordekaiser	49.9%	5.1%	7.2%	19,044	0.02σ
Olaf	50.6%	3.0%	4.1%	10,210	0.13σ
Urgot	51.5%	2.4%	1.0%	9,539	0.33σ
Vladimir	51.3%	1.2%	3.6%	4,226	0.30σ
Anivia	52.1%	0.7%	2.2%	2,392	0.47σ
Renekton	49.9%	5.7%	4.4%	20,213	0.02σ
Akali	49.2%	3.3%	18.4%	11,181	0.18σ
Tryndamere	50.6%	2.9%	2.8%	10,673	0.12σ
Pantheon	50.0%	4.3%	3.9%	14,438	0.01σ
Heimerdinger	51.0%	1.4%	2.3%	5,004	0.22σ
Camille	50.3%	4.1%	1.8%	14,538	0.06σ
Gwen	50.4%	2.4%	2.7%	8,675	0.09σ
Yorick	49.6%	3.0%	6.9%	10,753	0.10σ
Dr. Mundo	50.0%	3.6%	2.6%	13,721	0.00σ
Lissandra	51.5%	0.5%	3.1%	1,559	0.33σ
Kassadin	53.5%	0.2%	2.0%	552	0.78σ
Zilean	53.0%	0.2%	1.9%	658	0.66σ
Gnar	50.0%	3.4%	1.3%	11,521	0.00σ
Yasuo	48.1%	3.2%	23.9%	10,877	0.43σ
Aurelion Sol	53.7%	0.2%	0.5%	644	0.82σ
Riven	50.3%	2.2%	1.1%	7,972	0.07σ
Malzahar	50.2%	0.5%	7.7%	1,884	0.05σ
Zaahen	50.0%	2.6%	1.0%	9,576	0.00σ
Sylas	48.6%	1.2%	19.9%	3,743	0.32σ
Gragas	50.0%	2.3%	0.7%	7,987	0.01σ
Wukong	49.4%	0.9%	7.2%	3,310	0.13σ
Cassiopeia	51.0%	0.4%	1.4%	1,504	0.22σ
Briar	50.0%	0.3%	9.1%	1,099	0.00σ
Naafiri	49.7%	0.3%	9.0%	1,223	0.06σ
Volibear	48.8%	3.9%	2.2%	14,067	0.27σ
Quinn	50.5%	0.8%	0.6%	3,112	0.10σ
Tahm Kench	49.1%	1.8%	2.4%	6,781	0.19σ
Kennen	49.3%	2.0%	1.4%	6,574	0.16σ
Sejuani	51.6%	0.3%	0.2%	1,035	0.34σ
Master Yi	48.5%	0.6%	14.1%	2,177	0.34σ
Rengar	49.8%	0.3%	5.2%	1,075	0.05σ
Aurora	50.3%	0.5%	1.2%	1,824	0.07σ
Jayce	47.5%	5.5%	5.9%	17,168	0.55σ
Kalista	50.6%	0.3%	1.5%	914	0.13σ
Galio	50.0%	0.4%	2.0%	1,344	0.01σ
Trundle	49.5%	1.7%	0.4%	6,429	0.12σ
Fiddlesticks	50.4%	0.3%	1.1%	1,074	0.09σ
Brand	49.9%	0.2%	2.0%	803	0.03σ
Akshan	49.8%	0.2%	2.0%	660	0.03σ
Shyvana	48.6%	0.2%	5.7%	934	0.30σ
Ambessa	47.2%	3.7%	3.5%	12,572	0.61σ
Kog'Maw	50.0%	0.2%	0.8%	718	0.01σ
Udyr	49.0%	0.5%	0.9%	2,046	0.22σ
Vayne	47.7%	1.2%	3.6%	4,248	0.51σ
Swain	48.6%	0.5%	2.0%	2,021	0.32σ
Rek'Sai	50.5%	0.1%	0.7%	383	0.11σ
Xin Zhao	48.9%	0.3%	1.2%	947	0.24σ
Ivern	50.8%	0.1%	0.3%	292	0.17σ
Azir	50.0%	0.1%	0.3%	524	0.01σ
K'Sante	46.6%	3.8%	2.2%	12,148	0.76σ
Maokai	48.7%	0.5%	0.2%	1,609	0.29σ
Skarner	48.4%	0.2%	0.2%	617	0.36σ
Ryze	46.7%	0.7%	0.5%	2,153	0.72σ
Rumble	45.9%	1.5%	0.6%	4,948	0.90σ
Smolder	45.2%	0.3%	1.1%	935	1.05σ
Karthus	44.6%	0.1%	0.7%	404	1.20σ
Varus	44.8%	0.9%	1.4%	2,562	1.14σ
Corki	45.3%	0.4%	0.3%	1,412	1.03σ

At Emerald, a Top champion's win rate has to sit at least 2.27 percentage points from an even 50% before Should I Dodge's own 0.5σ noise-floor threshold calls it more than lobby-to-lobby noise — 17 of the 87 champions below (19.5%) actually clear it. Aurelion Sol (53.7%, 0.82σ), Zac (53.7%, 0.81σ), and Kassadin (53.5%, 0.78σ) clear it from above 50%; Karthus (44.6%, 1.20σ), Varus (44.8%, 1.14σ), and Smolder (45.2%, 1.05σ) clear it from below.

Top champions at Emerald average a 50.0% win rate, but how tightly they cluster around it matters more than the average itself: a 1.85-point standard deviation across the list and a 9.1-point spread from top to bottom — measured directly from these champions' own win rates, not this app's lobby-to-lobby model spread quoted above. This tier's noise-floor bar works out to about 1.2 of that list's own spread.

Top at Emerald isn't concentrated on a handful of champions: the top 5 by pick rate only account for 18.8% of recorded picks in the role, so play is spread widely across the pool.

The 5 most-picked Top champions at Emerald average 50.5% against the list's 50.0%, running stronger by 0.49 points — a real lean, but well short of this tier's own noise floor.

Diamond

Champion	Win Rate	Pick Rate	Ban Rate	Games	Edge (noise-widths)
Irelia	51.5%	5.0%	15.4%	15,365	0.35σ
Malphite	51.2%	6.9%	17.0%	21,861	0.26σ
Quinn	54.8%	0.9%	0.6%	2,844	1.09σ
Darius	51.2%	6.7%	12.1%	22,143	0.28σ
Fiora	51.6%	4.9%	8.2%	15,639	0.36σ
Zed	52.5%	0.8%	20.3%	2,583	0.58σ
Poppy	53.1%	1.1%	5.5%	3,424	0.71σ
Gangplank	51.0%	5.3%	14.3%	16,042	0.24σ
Singed	52.4%	2.6%	0.8%	8,371	0.56σ
Camille	51.2%	5.2%	2.4%	16,660	0.27σ
Yasuo	50.1%	2.9%	24.8%	9,191	0.02σ
Olaf	50.8%	3.4%	5.0%	10,633	0.17σ
Warwick	52.2%	1.8%	0.7%	5,578	0.49σ
Illaoi	51.3%	2.2%	3.5%	7,181	0.29σ
Nasus	50.3%	3.2%	9.0%	10,197	0.07σ
Yone	49.2%	8.5%	16.8%	25,890	0.17σ
Garen	50.4%	5.7%	4.1%	19,548	0.08σ
Sylas	50.4%	1.3%	21.5%	3,820	0.08σ
Pantheon	50.5%	4.6%	3.8%	13,969	0.11σ
Sion	51.3%	4.1%	0.7%	13,295	0.29σ
Tryndamere	51.0%	2.7%	2.6%	8,661	0.23σ
Rengar	52.2%	0.4%	9.0%	1,063	0.50σ
Anivia	51.8%	0.9%	2.8%	2,738	0.42σ
Teemo	50.4%	3.4%	4.8%	11,056	0.09σ
Zilean	53.7%	0.2%	2.3%	831	0.84σ
Renekton	49.9%	6.0%	4.6%	19,101	0.03σ
Shen	51.0%	3.7%	0.7%	12,419	0.22σ
Kled	51.4%	2.0%	0.9%	6,301	0.32σ
Kayle	51.2%	2.0%	1.3%	6,979	0.28σ
Jax	49.2%	6.2%	12.5%	18,973	0.18σ
Ornn	50.9%	4.1%	0.5%	13,929	0.21σ
Gwen	50.7%	2.4%	2.7%	7,849	0.15σ
Akali	49.1%	3.4%	18.9%	10,568	0.20σ
Aatrox	49.5%	5.9%	5.1%	18,157	0.11σ
Aurora	52.0%	0.6%	1.2%	2,064	0.46σ
Urgot	50.8%	2.3%	0.8%	7,949	0.18σ
Dr. Mundo	50.1%	3.5%	2.0%	11,432	0.02σ
Kassadin	52.8%	0.2%	3.1%	711	0.63σ
Akshan	52.7%	0.2%	2.9%	730	0.62σ
Sett	49.9%	4.8%	1.7%	16,046	0.03σ
Zac	51.5%	0.7%	1.4%	2,003	0.34σ
Cassiopeia	51.6%	0.6%	1.5%	1,792	0.36σ
Riven	50.3%	2.3%	1.6%	7,556	0.07σ
Mordekaiser	49.3%	4.4%	4.5%	14,385	0.16σ
Gragas	50.4%	2.8%	0.7%	8,703	0.08σ
Cho'Gath	49.3%	2.5%	6.1%	8,485	0.15σ
Heimerdinger	50.6%	1.1%	1.5%	3,410	0.13σ
Zaahen	50.0%	2.9%	0.9%	9,584	0.00σ
Zoe	51.7%	0.2%	4.0%	721	0.38σ
Lissandra	50.7%	0.5%	3.0%	1,635	0.15σ
Vladimir	49.6%	1.4%	4.3%	4,436	0.08σ
Wukong	49.6%	0.9%	6.8%	2,897	0.10σ
Azir	53.0%	0.2%	0.2%	707	0.69σ
Kennen	49.7%	2.0%	1.6%	6,149	0.07σ
Galio	50.5%	0.4%	2.3%	1,424	0.12σ
Yorick	48.7%	2.5%	4.7%	7,972	0.29σ
Ambessa	48.2%	4.4%	4.6%	13,814	0.40σ
Fiddlesticks	50.8%	0.4%	1.1%	1,117	0.18σ
Kog'Maw	51.6%	0.2%	0.7%	682	0.37σ
Volibear	49.0%	3.1%	1.4%	10,005	0.24σ
Jayce	47.4%	6.5%	9.5%	18,863	0.60σ
Rek'Sai	51.8%	0.1%	1.0%	502	0.41σ
Briar	49.9%	0.2%	4.8%	684	0.03σ
Ryze	49.9%	0.8%	0.5%	2,316	0.03σ
Gnar	48.4%	3.9%	1.6%	12,090	0.36σ
Trundle	49.6%	1.3%	0.3%	4,500	0.09σ
Tahm Kench	48.8%	1.3%	1.3%	4,277	0.28σ
Master Yi	47.8%	0.5%	11.1%	1,608	0.50σ
Annie	51.3%	0.1%	0.5%	398	0.30σ
Aurelion Sol	50.7%	0.1%	0.4%	498	0.16σ
Sejuani	49.9%	0.3%	0.1%	1,111	0.03σ
Naafiri	47.9%	0.3%	8.0%	942	0.48σ
Swain	48.9%	0.5%	1.1%	1,688	0.26σ
Vayne	47.8%	1.2%	3.3%	3,860	0.50σ
K'Sante	47.1%	4.6%	2.6%	13,553	0.66σ
Malzahar	47.8%	0.4%	4.2%	1,282	0.49σ
Udyr	48.4%	0.6%	0.8%	1,841	0.37σ
Karthus	48.9%	0.1%	1.1%	441	0.25σ
Maokai	48.8%	0.5%	0.1%	1,412	0.26σ
Rumble	47.8%	1.7%	0.8%	5,222	0.51σ
Skarner	48.7%	0.2%	0.2%	716	0.30σ
Ivern	48.3%	0.1%	0.4%	366	0.40σ
Brand	47.6%	0.2%	1.0%	621	0.55σ
Shyvana	46.3%	0.3%	4.0%	866	0.83σ
Varus	45.9%	0.8%	1.3%	2,363	0.94σ
Kalista	44.8%	0.3%	2.3%	840	1.17σ
Corki	44.4%	0.5%	0.3%	1,405	1.27σ
Smolder	42.5%	0.2%	0.7%	611	1.71σ

Diamond has the tightest lobby-to-lobby spread of any ranked tier, which makes its noise-floor threshold the loosest on the whole ladder at just 2.20 percentage points — yet only 19 of the 88 Top champions below (21.6%) clear it. That says more about how tightly Diamond's win rates cluster around 50% than about the threshold itself. Quinn (54.8%, 1.09σ), Zilean (53.7%, 0.84σ), and Poppy (53.1%, 0.71σ) clear it from above 50%; Smolder (42.5%, 1.71σ), Corki (44.4%, 1.27σ), and Kalista (44.8%, 1.17σ) clear it from below.

Top champions at Diamond average a 50.0% win rate, but how tightly they cluster around it matters more than the average itself: a 2.01-point standard deviation across the list and a 12.3-point spread from top to bottom — measured directly from these champions' own win rates, not this app's lobby-to-lobby model spread quoted above. This tier's noise-floor bar works out to about 1.1 of that list's own spread.

Top at Diamond isn't concentrated on a handful of champions: the top 5 by pick rate only account for 18.0% of recorded picks in the role, so play is spread widely across the pool.

The 5 most-picked Top champions at Diamond average a 49.6% win rate against the list's own 50.0% — a 0.37-point gap, small enough that popularity and strength are effectively unrelated here.

Master

Champion	Win Rate	Pick Rate	Ban Rate	Games	Edge (noise-widths)
Zed	54.1%	1.0%	18.4%	1,522	0.87σ
Darius	52.3%	5.8%	8.3%	8,804	0.47σ
Malphite	51.9%	6.2%	13.0%	9,415	0.39σ
Fiora	51.7%	5.6%	12.8%	8,520	0.37σ
Yasuo	51.7%	2.7%	29.6%	4,234	0.36σ
Quinn	55.5%	0.9%	0.3%	1,486	1.15σ
Irelia	50.9%	4.9%	15.0%	7,407	0.18σ
Sylas	52.0%	1.2%	20.5%	1,913	0.41σ
Camille	51.5%	5.9%	2.6%	8,868	0.32σ
Gangplank	51.0%	4.9%	9.1%	7,534	0.20σ
Olaf	51.1%	4.2%	5.9%	6,367	0.23σ
Gwen	51.9%	2.6%	2.6%	3,820	0.40σ
Yone	49.9%	7.8%	15.6%	11,898	0.02σ
Zoe	55.0%	0.4%	6.7%	563	1.05σ
Riven	51.7%	2.2%	3.3%	3,290	0.37σ
Tryndamere	51.5%	2.8%	2.7%	4,239	0.32σ
Jax	49.7%	6.2%	14.5%	9,308	0.07σ
Ahri	54.1%	0.5%	2.2%	751	0.86σ
Warwick	52.1%	1.7%	0.3%	2,575	0.44σ
Rengar	52.4%	0.4%	16.6%	604	0.51σ
Renekton	49.9%	5.8%	4.6%	8,836	0.01σ
Teemo	50.9%	2.4%	2.7%	3,543	0.19σ
Cassiopeia	52.5%	0.8%	2.2%	1,212	0.51σ
Pantheon	50.1%	5.1%	3.4%	7,548	0.02σ
Akali	49.5%	2.9%	19.3%	4,448	0.11σ
Anivia	51.2%	1.3%	3.2%	1,972	0.26σ
Shen	50.7%	3.8%	0.8%	5,837	0.15σ
Ornn	50.7%	4.4%	0.4%	6,846	0.16σ
Udyr	52.3%	0.9%	1.1%	1,325	0.48σ
Heimerdinger	52.3%	0.9%	0.8%	1,300	0.49σ
Kennen	50.7%	2.4%	1.9%	3,696	0.15σ
Vladimir	50.6%	1.7%	4.8%	2,599	0.12σ
Galio	52.4%	0.6%	2.8%	904	0.51σ
Aurora	51.8%	1.0%	1.3%	1,614	0.37σ
Gragas	50.9%	2.9%	0.4%	4,438	0.19σ
Urgot	50.8%	2.5%	0.9%	3,807	0.17σ
Poppy	50.7%	1.0%	7.3%	1,477	0.14σ
Lissandra	51.9%	0.7%	2.0%	1,096	0.40σ
Swain	53.0%	0.5%	0.9%	778	0.63σ
Sion	50.3%	4.2%	0.7%	6,485	0.06σ
Wukong	51.3%	0.7%	4.2%	1,089	0.27σ
Garen	49.9%	4.1%	2.0%	6,291	0.03σ
Master Yi	51.8%	0.3%	8.1%	522	0.38σ
Singed	50.3%	2.6%	1.0%	3,775	0.06σ
Naafiri	52.5%	0.3%	5.4%	449	0.51σ
Kled	50.4%	2.1%	0.7%	3,187	0.09σ
Cho'Gath	49.5%	2.5%	3.9%	3,674	0.10σ
Vayne	50.1%	1.5%	2.8%	2,365	0.02σ
Nasus	49.1%	2.7%	6.5%	3,958	0.18σ
Illaoi	49.9%	1.9%	2.0%	2,741	0.01σ
Jayce	47.8%	7.8%	19.1%	11,839	0.47σ
Tahm Kench	51.3%	0.8%	0.4%	1,267	0.27σ
Yorick	49.4%	1.9%	3.2%	2,946	0.13σ
Aatrox	48.5%	5.4%	4.1%	8,011	0.32σ
Malzahar	52.1%	0.3%	1.6%	468	0.43σ
Fiddlesticks	52.1%	0.3%	1.4%	479	0.45σ
Zaahen	49.3%	3.6%	0.6%	5,386	0.14σ
Sett	49.4%	2.7%	0.6%	4,091	0.13σ
Sejuani	52.7%	0.3%	0.1%	438	0.57σ
Rek'Sai	51.4%	0.3%	1.4%	482	0.30σ
Ivern	52.6%	0.2%	0.8%	369	0.54σ
Azir	52.0%	0.3%	0.4%	464	0.42σ
Zilean	50.3%	0.4%	2.3%	695	0.05σ
Karthus	51.7%	0.2%	3.1%	285	0.36σ
Dr. Mundo	48.7%	3.3%	1.4%	4,907	0.27σ
Zac	49.7%	0.6%	1.0%	973	0.06σ
K'Sante	47.7%	5.7%	3.1%	8,726	0.47σ
Trundle	49.5%	1.0%	0.2%	1,478	0.11σ
Gnar	47.9%	4.1%	1.8%	6,403	0.44σ
Kayle	48.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2,605	0.28σ
Ryze	49.2%	0.8%	0.7%	1,260	0.17σ
Ambessa	47.0%	6.2%	6.6%	9,361	0.62σ
Volibear	48.4%	2.2%	0.6%	3,377	0.33σ
Mordekaiser	47.6%	2.9%	2.1%	4,344	0.50σ
Neeko	49.3%	0.2%	1.0%	322	0.16σ
Akshan	47.9%	0.3%	3.4%	476	0.45σ
Aurelion Sol	50.1%	0.2%	0.4%	301	0.01σ
Fizz	47.8%	0.2%	2.2%	309	0.46σ
Shyvana	47.5%	0.4%	2.1%	550	0.51σ
Kog'Maw	48.5%	0.2%	0.8%	378	0.31σ
Kassadin	47.2%	0.2%	3.2%	372	0.58σ
Corki	48.0%	0.7%	0.3%	1,056	0.41σ
Rumble	47.0%	2.4%	1.4%	3,701	0.63σ
Maokai	48.0%	0.3%	0.1%	507	0.43σ
Nocturne	44.1%	0.2%	2.5%	317	1.24σ
Skarner	45.9%	0.3%	0.2%	413	0.87σ
Varus	45.4%	0.8%	1.4%	1,253	0.97σ

At Master, a Top champion's win rate has to sit at least 2.39 percentage points from an even 50% before Should I Dodge's own 0.5σ noise-floor threshold calls it more than lobby-to-lobby noise — 18 of the 87 champions below (20.7%) actually clear it. Quinn (55.5%, 1.15σ), Zoe (55.0%, 1.05σ), and Zed (54.1%, 0.87σ) clear it from above 50%; Nocturne (44.1%, 1.24σ), Varus (45.4%, 0.97σ), and Skarner (45.9%, 0.87σ) clear it from below.

Top champions at Master average a 50.4% win rate, but how tightly they cluster around it matters more than the average itself: a 2.06-point standard deviation across the list and a 11.4-point spread from top to bottom — measured directly from these champions' own win rates, not this app's lobby-to-lobby model spread quoted above. This tier's noise-floor bar works out to about 1.2 of that list's own spread.

Top at Master isn't concentrated on a handful of champions: the top 5 by pick rate only account for 17.8% of recorded picks in the role, so play is spread widely across the pool.

The 5 most-picked Top champions at Master average 49.2% against the list's 50.4%, running weaker by 1.12 points — a real lean, but well short of this tier's own noise floor.

Grandmaster

Champion	Win Rate	Pick Rate	Ban Rate	Games	Edge (noise-widths)
Fiora	54.9%	6.1%	17.5%	573	0.66σ
Jayce	49.6%	10.7%	31.3%	1,016	0.06σ
Jax	51.9%	7.0%	14.7%	668	0.25σ
Malphite	52.7%	4.8%	9.0%	451	0.37σ
Yone	49.8%	6.5%	15.1%	608	0.02σ
Renekton	51.7%	5.4%	3.3%	509	0.23σ
Garen	56.9%	3.5%	0.8%	321	0.92σ
Olaf	48.4%	7.4%	7.0%	724	0.22σ
Akali	53.3%	2.6%	20.1%	239	0.44σ
Camille	48.9%	7.4%	2.7%	686	0.15σ
Pantheon	49.1%	5.6%	4.5%	534	0.12σ
Yasuo	50.2%	2.5%	35.0%	236	0.03σ
Kennen	52.7%	3.2%	2.2%	308	0.36σ
Irelia	49.2%	3.7%	9.8%	349	0.11σ
Shen	56.3%	2.8%	0.3%	252	0.83σ
Gangplank	49.7%	4.2%	3.3%	396	0.04σ
Tryndamere	53.2%	2.7%	2.6%	260	0.43σ
Ambessa	46.2%	7.9%	5.4%	757	0.51σ
K'Sante	46.3%	7.9%	3.9%	753	0.49σ
Gwen	53.0%	2.5%	1.6%	238	0.41σ
Aatrox	50.0%	3.6%	1.2%	333	0.01σ
Darius	46.9%	4.3%	5.8%	405	0.41σ
Gnar	48.8%	3.7%	1.9%	350	0.15σ
Ornn	49.4%	3.8%	0.4%	346	0.08σ
Rumble	47.9%	3.9%	1.6%	372	0.28σ
Teemo	49.0%	2.7%	2.8%	255	0.13σ
Urgot	52.3%	2.2%	1.0%	208	0.31σ
Zaahen	49.2%	3.0%	0.4%	281	0.10σ
Sett	49.7%	2.5%	0.3%	233	0.04σ
Sion	45.9%	4.3%	0.5%	395	0.55σ
Dr. Mundo	46.1%	3.1%	0.6%	295	0.52σ
Gragas	44.9%	3.6%	0.2%	334	0.68σ
Kled	46.0%	2.3%	0.7%	226	0.53σ